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2024-12-13 05:29:09

This round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict has killed 44,758 people in the Gaza. According to a statement issued by the health department in Gaza on December 10th, local time, since the new round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict broke out on October 7th last year, Israeli military operations in Gaza have killed 44,758 Palestinians and injured 106,134 others.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.The scientific and technological innovation sector is ready to go! Kechuang 100TF (588190) rose by 2.99% at midday, and Stevie rose by 6.20%. By midday on December 10th, Kechuang 100TF (588190) rose by 2.99%, with a turnover of 457 million yuan. Component stocks rose strongly, with Sitway rising by 6.20%, Guo Dun Quantum, Hengxuan Technology, Ruichuang Micro-Nano and Alice rising by over 3%, and Xinyuanwei and Anji Technology rising by over 2%. Guotai Junan said that the policy is set to be unconventional, the New Year's market is expected to continue, and the China stock market's transformation bull is taking shape, and its style and industry configuration are welcoming the "transformation bull" and its chess eyes are growing. Zhongtai Securities said that the meeting pointed out that "a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented". The statement that monetary policy is "moderately loose" is the first time in many years, which indicates that a more powerful monetary policy tool will be used next year, but it does not mean relaxing the goal of stabilizing exchange rate and currency value. The easing of monetary policy throughout the year is still closely related to Trump's tax cuts, inflation and debt. Next year is the closing year of the "14th Five-Year Plan", which is the real main line of the technology and direction related to industrial policy or the "year-end and early year" market.


Musk showed that robots conquer rugged terrain without relying on visual system. Tesla released a video showing the latest progress of its humanoid robot Optimus walking on complex terrain. The video shows that Optimus can walk steadily on a hill slope covered with mulch. Tesla CEO Elon Musk said on social media that the robot can control its electric limbs through neural networks and can walk on this rugged terrain without remote control.China's 10-year government bond yield fell by 5 basis points to 1.855%, a record low.Australia's policy interest rate is 4.35%, expected to be 4.35%, and the previous value is 4.35%.


China Heihe-Russia Kanikurgan Highway Port Passenger Transport was officially opened. On December 10th, with the first passenger completing the exit formalities, China Heihe Highway Port-Russia Kanikurgan Highway Port Passenger Transport was officially opened. Passengers take buses from Heihe International Highway Passenger Station in China and Amoula Suo International Bus Station in Blagoveshchensk, Russia, respectively, and cross the Sino-Russian cross-border highway bridge, with four buses entering and leaving each country every day. After the official opening of passenger transportation at Heihe Highway Port, the functions of Sino-Russian highway ports have been further improved, providing a more convenient channel for cross-border communication. (Xinhua News Agency)Japan Meteorological Agency: There is a 70% chance that La Niñ a will not occur before the arrival of spring. The Japan Meteorological Agency said that there are no signs of El Niñ o and La Niñ a at present, but the characteristics of La Niñ a are emerging. There is a 70% chance that La Nina will not occur before the spring comes.Morgan Stanley published a research report that Jingdong Logistics management predicted that the net profit growth in FY 2024 would increase by 49% year-on-year, far exceeding the bank's expected 30% increase. As for the profit growth forecast for next year, it is 9% year-on-year. The bank also believes that the acquisition of Jingdong Logistics across the remaining rights and interests of Express is positive and is expected to have further synergy. Morgan Stanley set the target price of H shares of Jingdong Logistics at HK$ 13.1, giving it a rating of "keeping pace with the market".

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